Main results of VIMC surveillance project.



Table 1 Projected population targeted by OCV campaigns and OCV efficiency by surveillance scenario (2022 ~ 2030)

  • This table is calculating the median and 95% CI.
  • Total number of targeted pop and total averted cases were calculated combining all the countries for each of the 200 runs (regardless if there is targeting or not) and the median and 95% CI are calculated using all the 200 runs ;
  • When calculating efficiency, runs without targeting were dropped, the median and 95% CI were based on all runs with targeting going on.


Figure 1 Comparison of OCV efficiency across model scenarios

  • Each of the dot in the boxplot represents the median efficiency of each country.


Figure 2 OCV efficiency gained from cholera confirmation at finer scale

  • Figure 2A shows difference between median efficiency of “Clinical only” and “District labs”;
  • The maps (figure 2B) are showing number of doses administered when doing admin2 targeting and district level confirmation of cholera (district labs);
  • Do we want annual doses or total doses across years (the below figures are showing total doses across all years)?
  • How to increase the contrast of the circle size? Now the circle size looks the same (even thought they have different values).


Supplement


Figure S1 Model Illustration

  • IR: Incidence rate; CR: Confirmation rate.


Figure S2 Gained efficiency from “Clinical only” to “District labs” (Threshold = 2/10,000 per year)


Figure S3 Gained efficiency from “Clinical only” to “National lab”


Figure S4 Gained efficiency from “National lab” to “District labs”


Table S1 Districts excluded from targeting due to small size

  • (I removed one district from KEN (admin1=West Pokot, admin2=unknown 8), this area has 0.1 pop and 0 area)
  • Population here is population size in 2020 (calculated from the raster file);
  • Incidence rate here is calculated from the baseline incidence rate (clinical).


Table S2 Targeted population, averted cases and OCV efficiency of each country

  • This table shows the means and 95%CIs.